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Housing-affordability conditions in the nation remained favorable during the second quarter, but rising interest rates and higher home prices mean affordability declined from the second-highest level in 21 years during the first quarter, according to the National Association of Realtors.
David Lereah, the association's chief economist, said it is important to put the decline in perspective. "Housing-affordability conditions for the U.S. as a whole have been so favorable that even with a decline, the current reading is quite good," he said. "The last time the affordability index was at this level was in the second quarter of 2002, and that was a record year for home sales."
The index shows the nation's typical household had 133.6 percent of the income needed to purchase a home at the median existing-home price in the second quarter, which was $183,800. This index measures affordability factors for all home buyers making a 20 percent down payment, with an index of 100 defined as the point where a median-income family has the exact amount of income needed to purchase a median-priced existing home. The second-quarter median family income was projected to be $54,884.
In contrast, the minimum household income needed to purchase a median-priced home at $465,160 in California in May was $108,450, based on a typical 30-year, fixed-rate mortgage at 5.77 percent and assuming a 20 percent down payment.
National Association of Realtors President Walt McDonald said the typical household is well poised to buy a home in most of the country. "The average buyer could afford to buy a home costing nearly 4.5 times their income in the second quarter," he said. "Even so, the median-income family spends just over 3.3 times their income for a home, meaning housing continues to be an excellent investment. Affordability conditions are expected to be fairly stable during the second half of the year, which will contribute to a new annual record for home sales."
In the second quarter, a median-income household could afford to buy a home costing $245,600, which is well above the national median price of $183,800.
According to the Federal Housing Finance Board, the average effective mortgage interest rate for existing homes was 5.73 percent during the second quarter. This is a weighted average interest rate between fixed and adjustable loans, including the cost of points, and represents a true bottom-line mortgage cost.
Affordability for first-time home buyers also declined in the second quarter, down 6.4 percentage points. The association's First-Time Homebuyer Affordability Index shows a typical first-time buyer household, aged 25 to 44, with an income of $31,103, had 77 percent of the income needed to purchase a typical starter home with a 10 percent down payment. The median starter-home price was $156,200 during the second quarter.
The index shows the typical first-time buyer could afford a home costing $120,300. "First-time buyers are in a fairly good position in most of the midsection of the country, but in higher-priced markets they have to make some adjustments," McDonald said. "In reality, entry-level buyers are making smaller down payments--in the range of 3 to 6 percent--and are using loan programs to afford more house for a given income."
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